Just under 240 days ahead of the election on Nov. 5, Survey USA released a poll sponsored by WRAL, including a first look at the race for state superintendent between Michele Morrow and Mo Green.

“Republican Michelle Morrow has a nominal 1-point lead against Democrat Mo Green in the Superintendent of Public Instruction race, where she takes 41% to Green’s 40%, with 19% undecided today,” the report said.

“Morrow, who has called public schools ‘indoctrination centers,’ has a 4-point lead among North Carolina voters who do not have children under 18 at home,” the report continued. “Green, a former superintendent of schools, leads by 5 among those who do have children at home. 72% of those who say they will vote for Trump for President also vote for Morrow for SPI; 77% of Biden voters back Green.”

WRAL calls the race “a statistical dead heat.”

The poll asked likely voters: “If the election for North Carolina state superintendent of public instruction were held today, and the only two names on the ballot were Republican Michelle Morrow and Democrat Mo Green, who would you vote for?” The credibility interval for this question was +/- 4.9%.

Currently Morrow leads with men, aged 35-49, who are white; registered and affiliated with the Republican Party and are conservative and very conservative; who will vote and did vote for Donald Trump; own a gun, have a high school degree, own a home, and live in rural North Carolina.

Green leads with women, younger and older voters, who are people of color; who are registered and affiliated as Democrats and unaffiliated, who are moderate, liberal, or very liberal; who will vote and did vote for Joe Biden; do not own a gun, have children under 18, have a four-year degree, rent a home, and live in suburban and urban areas.

SurveyUSA interviewed 850 North Carolina adults between March 6-9, 2024. Of the adults, 736 were identified as being registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 598 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election and were asked the substantive questions online.