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New Richmond Fed survey redefines success for community college students

Are community college students doing better than traditional measures suggest?

A 2025 survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, which collected data on 189 community and technical colleges — including North Carolina’s 58 community colleges — offers a new measure of student success. That rate covers more pathways offered by community colleges, which a traditional graduation rate might not capture.

The results? Students’ success rate for the 2020-21 was higher than a traditional graduation rate.

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The Survey of Community College Outcomes, which launched in 2021, aims to create new evaluation methods to measure community colleges’ performance. By 2024, the survey included 121 colleges across North Carolina, the District of Columbia, Maryland, South Carolina, Virginia, and most of West Virginia. The 2025 edition also includes schools from Arkansas, Iowa, Massachusetts, New Jersey, and Texas.

The Richmond Fed set out to create a new success rate that would reflect more pathways offered by community colleges than a traditional graduation rate.

The rate aggregates students who received a degree, diploma, certificate, or credential; students who transferred, even before receiving a degree; and students who are still enrolled, completed at least 30 credits, and had at least a 2.0 GPA.

equation for Richmond Fed Success Rate
Courtesy of Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

Survey results

Across the survey’s 189 colleges, the Richmond Fed’s success rate was 49.8% for students who entered in 2020-21, compared to the traditional graduation rate of 33.8%, according to the U.S. Department of Education’s Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS).

For North Carolina, the Richmond Fed’s success rate was 49.1%, compared to the traditional graduation rate of 36.5%.

According to the survey, student success across geographic classifications — rural locales, towns, suburban areas, and cities — was similar, ranging from 48.8% to 52.8%.

In North Carolina, success rates among colleges ranged from 39% to 57%, though college names were anonymized in the survey report. For the state’s full-time community college students, the success rate was nearly 58%, compared to 42% for part-time students. Across all 189 colleges in the survey, the part-time rate was 43.6%, lower than the full-time students’ success rate by nearly 13 percentage points.

The survey also analyzed success rates across three age groups: those under 18 who had already graduated from high school, those ages 18-24, and those 25 and older. The youngest students had the highest success rate, while the oldest cohort had the lowest.

The report says this trend is likely due to these learners’ additional responsibilities outside school. Age-level data for North Carolina was unavailable due to reporting inconsistencies, the report says.

“The ways we assess and understand these institutions matters,” the report concludes. “… The Richmond Fed methodology and Richmond Fed Success Rate take us closer to accurately evaluat(ing) the unique role of community colleges in our workforce development system.”

Sergio Osnaya-Prieto

Sergio Osnaya-Prieto served as EdNC’s director of communications from January 2021-November 2022, and he served as a senior reporting fellow from January 2025-May 2026.

He graduated from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill in 2020 with a bachelor’s degree in public policy and journalism from the UNC Hussman School of Media and Journalism. During his time at UNC, Sergio worked on The Daily Tar Heel’s copy and online desk and became the chief copy editor in the fall of 2020. That summer, he served as the newspaper’s editor-in-chief, directing the DTH’s coverage of the COVID-19 pandemic, UNC’s COVID-19 response, and racial justice protests. He has also worked as a reporter for Qué Pasa Media Network and a social media manager for Latino Communications.

In 2025, Sergio graduated with a Master of Public Administration degree with a specialization in international development from New York University’s Wagner Graduate School of Public Service. As a graduate student, Sergio focused on labor migration and climate displacement. He served as project assistant to NYU Wagner’s Capstone co-directors, and he worked as a consultant for the United Nations Development Programme in Colombia for his own Capstone project. In the summer of 2024, he worked with the UN Office of the Special Adviser on Africa as a public information intern.

Sergio lived in New York City and Mexico City before moving to Raleigh in 2012, where he attended Enloe High School and Wake Technical Community College.